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The tool and die steel market is stable and looking forward to the coming year

时间:2022-05-05

In December, the domestic tool and die steel market maintained a stable operation, and the price did not fluctuate much. Operators and market participants predicted that the entire market would remain stable during the year, and expressed their expectations for the tool and die steel market next year. my country's mold industry The transformation, upgrading and sustainable development of the tool and die steel market are the driving force for the stable and sound operation of the tool and die steel market.




According to the feedback from the operators in the sales, although the recent trade in the tool and die steel market is normal, the price is relatively stable, the merchants have little inventory, the sales pressure is not large, and the mentality is mostly stable. For example, on the first trading day of December, the price of tool and die steel in the Wuxi market was consolidated. For example, the price of Cr12MoV forging material was 14,300 yuan/ton. 11,500 yuan/ton, T10A rolling material is 6800 yuan/ton, H13 (electric furnace) rolling material is 19,300 yuan/ton, H13 (electroslag) rolling material is 23,000 yuan/ton, 3Cr2W8V forging material is 44,300 yuan/ton, 5CrNiMo rolling material The price of timber is 13,200 yuan/ton.




The tool and die steel market in the Beijing market has also stabilized. Due to the fact that the ex-factory prices of tool and die steel of various large steel companies remained "flat" in December, coupled with factors such as the end of the year and the shortage of funds, the effective demand from downstream terminals has not been significantly released, supporting the industry. The driving force for the price increase of die steel market is insufficient; while the price of raw materials remains high, rigid cost support effectively curbs the decline of prices, so the current price of tool and die steel is in a stalemate of "cannot go up or go down". At present, the price of tool and die steel in the Beijing market: H13 rolling material is quoted at 17,000 yuan/ton, H13 forging material is quoted at 17,600 yuan/ton, 3Cr2W8V rolling material is quoted at 43,000 yuan/ton, Cr12MoV forging material is quoted at 14,000 yuan/ton, and Cr12 forging material is quoted at 14,000 yuan/ton. 12,500 yuan / ton, 9CrSi rolled products offer 8,000 yuan / ton.




Judging from the trading situation of steel traders, the current market demand for tool and die steel is general. At the end of the year, funds are in short supply, and downstream end users control the purchase volume and are usually reluctant to stock up in large quantities. Steel traders also do not want to stock up due to lack of sufficient funds and repayment of loans from banks, and maintain low inventory operations. of steel traders focus on developing end markets, conducting direct sales, and organizing resources to steel mills according to orders, instead of having a lot of stock in warehouses in the past. Therefore, the mid-end demand is not strong, and there is a lack of motivation to support price increases.




When analyzing and forecasting the domestic tool and die steel market in this year and the next year, some operators believe that stability is the main priority. Even if the price fluctuates, the range is quite limited. If the steel mill controls the output and organizes production according to the market demand, the contradiction between supply and demand can be alleviated. , then it is not ruled out that the tool and die steel market will pick up in the later period, especially next year, and the price will rebound.




Judging from the development of my country's mold industry, the demand for tool and die steel has not weakened, but it has also increased. Today, my country has become the world's largest mold production country. According to industry insiders, my country's die-casting mold industry has developed rapidly in recent years, and the total output has grown significantly. At present, the total output of domestic die-casting molds is second only to the United States, ranking second in the world, becoming a veritable die-casting country. According to the current situation, the future development prospects of my country's die-casting industry are very broad.




Operators are full of expectations and hopes for my country's tool and die steel market next year. With the implementation of the spirit of the Third Plenary Session of the 18th Central Committee and the continuous deepening of reforms, the domestic economy will develop steadily. As an important support for economic development, the manufacturing industry, It will accelerate the transformation and upgrading and continue to develop, and the development prospects of the tooling and mould industry are broad.




According to the analysis and prediction of relevant people in the industry, "the average production of 1.5 million sets of molds per month is equivalent to that 50,000 mold companies only produce one set of molds per day. The total output value has reached 1.8 trillion yuan." China's molds have long been among the world's largest mold manufacturing countries. According to the 1:100 driving effect of the mold industry, China's molds have driven nearly 2 trillion yuan in related industries.




In recent years, the mold industry in some regions has developed extremely rapidly. A person such as Hubei Mould Industry Association said that Hubei Province is currently in a period of rapid development, the investment in fixed assets continues to increase, and the rapid development of automobile production, machinery manufacturing and other industries is driving strong growth in demand for moulds. At present, there are about 450 mold and mold standard parts production enterprises and scientific research institutions in Hubei, which have formed characteristic advantages in some fields. Dongfeng Motor (600006, stock bar) Mould and Shiyan Pioneer are in the leading position in the country in the design and manufacture of large-scale automobile panel moulds, and some products have reached the international advanced level; Efeng Mould, 733 Factory, 612 Factory and other enterprises have strong Precision mold manufacturing capability; Wuhan Institute of Mechanical Technology is in a leading position in China in terms of precision casting and forging molds and fast and simple mold making.


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